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Chicken Little was walking in the woods, worrying about the state of the economy, when an acorn fell on his head. Because private agents have more precise information about the shocks and consequently react more aggressively to it, the economy becomes harder to stabilize with monetary policy. Although headlines about monetary policy mostly announce changes in the target federal funds rate, the nature of those changes cannot be appreciated without looking at their effect on the money supply.

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Public communication from Federal Reserve officials has also increased substantially compared with prior decades. Open mouth operations are speculative statements made by the Federal Reserve to influence interest rates and inflation.

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First, the distribution of opinions converges to unanimity when the number of discussion rounds tends to infinity. The committee, however, gets high marks in ensuring that inflation remained within the tolerance band for most of its tenure, helped by the prevailing global and local macroeconomic conditions.

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